BACKGROUND FOR BLOGG ARTICLE
Background for article
What I learnt from the programs mentioned below
A lot of young, young mature as well as educated people under age 50 today lack knowledge enough to understand texts they read. That’s a big problem.
An even worse problem is that a lot of young, young mature as well educated people under age 50 today lack understanding of Mathematic basics. Such as ‘reading’ and understanding Mathematical curves, Statistic and so on.
Article below is written based on this starting point for more please read note 1
NORTH POLE AND SOUTH POLE ICE EXTENT
IMPACTS
© Johansson Inger E, North Pole and South Pole Ice Extent Impact and understanding, Gothenburg 5th January 2014
The image above from Arctic Sea Ice Extent, ijis.iarc.uaf.edu is a typical exemple of what all who study Mathematical Statistics are taught not to use. It’s an image not showing the correct proportions. For those who can read curves that might not be an issue. For those who can’t it is.
SEASONAL UPS AND DOWNS IN ICE EXTENT
What’s is important to understand reading the curves is the simple fact that Pole Ice Extent in North Pole as well as South Pole depend on season. Each year the summer ‘heat’ warms up the air and the surface so the Ice Extent decline. Each year the winter ‘colder temperatures’ makes the Ice Extent incline.
IN ACCURATE PRESENTATION OF A CURVE
Please note that the curves not presenting all facts from actual readings from 1980’s up to now. From Theories of Science view this is an red alert at once.
Neither does is it possible to read from image if the reading of a certain day is made at same hour each day or if it’s an average figure counted from max minus min values or if it’s the max or min value of the day. From Theories of Science view this is an red alert at once.
Also please note that the figures, no matter how they are measured calculated and presented, are from readings made by satellites. What can be measured from satellites are reflexion of ice extent. Not actual extent due to the fact that there are large areas in Arctic as well as Antarctic where there during summertime (in Antarctic when it’s winter in Arctic) often exists melted water up to 20 cm over ice no matter if it’s thin ice or several metre thick sea ice. From Theories of Science view this is an red alert!
Same goes for temperature measurements made by satellites. You can’t get temperatures 2 meters above surface nor can you get the actual figures from under the Ice sheet. All correct figures also needs to be taken at same GPS-point no matter when.
If you are accurate you need to do the reading at same time every day. If you don’t or if you try to ”correct” figures, well that’s no Science involved at all. In Theories of Science this is one of the worst fallacies. A circle proof can never ever prove anything of value. That’s one thing every scholar, scientist or otherwise should have learnt before writing a Master thesis…..
COMPARING AREAS
Please observe this:
Extent for North Pole Ice 31 december 2013 12.341.252 km2
Compare this with the Area of United States of America approx 9.830.000 km2
This gives us the fact that the Sea Ice Extent in North Pole in 31 december 2013 was more than 125 % of US total land area..
Please notice that the estimated figures for Ice Bear north the pole circle is 20-22,000…. this means that each Ice Bear have approximated 560 km2 each to walk on without having to meet an other Ice Bear.
That might not seem a lot when using the scale above. But please remember that the area for New York City is 1.213 km2 which gives a figure af close to half the area of New York City for each individual Ice Bear to walk on.
So Greenpeace and WWF ought to rethink the need for ‘saving the Ice Bears’ and to present where on Earth the collected money has been used!
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***************** It’s always good to have the facts correct.
***************** If not, it’s not science but subjective thoughts.
Note 1: correct information regarding why CO2 is measured on vulcanos
Swedish Channel 10 showed a BBC-dokumentary from 2013. In Sweden called Hotet från Mega-TsunamisHotet från Mega-Tsunamis, TV10.se
From geologic facts such as readings of CO2 (please look at the white instrument left of a man, image 1 of 5) placed all round the world on side of vulcanos by geologists used measuser the differences in CO2 in order to be able to predict uprising threats from vulcanos (!) Please remember that all our Earth thousand vulcanos from early days over their active eruptions and still when ‘dead’ vulcano erupts CO2 into the air.
Information re failures of School System in US and Sweden
Also shown on Swedish TV, Channel 4+, was Waiting for ”Superman” An American documentary by David Guggenheim in 2010. The documentary Waiting for Superman analyzes the failure of American Public School system.
The problems shown in the documentary were almost identical to those of Swedens School System. All schools in Sweden are to follow our School Law as well as our official decided Course plans. In Sweden as well as in US we do have Kommunala skolor Public Schools here owned by our towns/ municipalities as well as Friskolor Independent Schools.
ALL schools of Sweden have to follow the decided Course plans. Earlier all schools in Sweden that weren’t Private Schools were under our Swedish States parasolle. Back in 8 december 1989 our Swedish Riksdag Parliament on suggestion of our Minister of Education at the time Göran Persson, later to become Swedish Prime Minister, to place all schools under each town’s/municipalitie’s parasolle.
Thus making it unfair to students in our Grundskola due to the fact that each town/municipality has own rights according to Swedish Grundlaw Constitution to decide on how much money to spend on each town's/municipality's accounts. Using "cheese planner" and "cake server" the amount of money spent on each student today depends on the will of each town/municipality. We do have same problems in class rooms and schools as seen in US.
The learning in a classroom always depends on the teacher's education and commitment as well as on the possibility in class to have good atmosphere, in other word peace and respect. There are good teachers and bad.
[…] So Greenpeace and WWF ought to rethink the need for ‘saving the Ice Bears’ and to present where on Earth the collected money has been used!North Pole Sea Ice Extent 31 dec 2013, Norah4you 2014/01/05 […]
GillaGilla
[…] även North Pole Sea Ice Extent 31 dec 2013, Norah4you 5 januari 2014 , Round and around we go, Norah4you 3 januari 2014 samt Bye bye CO2 threat, Norah4you 7 januari […]
GillaGilla
”Not actual extent due to the fact that there are large areas in Arctic as well as Antarctic where there during summertime (in Antarctic when it’s winter in Arctic) often exists melted water up to 20 cm over ice no matter if it’s thin ice or several metre thick sea ice. From Theories of Science view this is an red alert!”
Grejen är att det faktiskt ser ännu värre ut för klimatskeptikerna om man faktiskt ser på isens tjocklek, figur 4:
http://psc.apl.washington.edu/wordpress/research/projects/arctic-sea-ice-volume-anomaly/
Det är lite fånigt av författaren att inte låtsas som att så är fallet eftersom hen förmodligen är lika kapabel som jag att googla fram istjockleken.
GillaGilla
För att det skall räknas som is när det mäts med hjälp av reflekterande ljus från is, så krävs det att det skall vara som minst 15 cm2 stor yta…. men den får inte ens ha 1 cm vatten ovanpå sig, vilket ju är vanligt att is oavsett var kan ha under dygnets varmaste timmar stor del av året. Om man använder gamla beräkningar och lägger Tjebysevs sats som grund för felmarginal, så gör det situationen än värre för inte för klimatskeptiker utan för klimatalarmister.
Verkligheten är den att Ellesmere Island var isfri (och glaciärfri) på 1200-talet och kartering (!) skedde av segelväg upp till is i polarområdet. Försök inte med att använda google eller med att använda reflexion. Verklig kartering av hur isläget var har gjorts långt innan någon tog sig före att ge sig att vandra för att ‘hitta’ nordpolen.
GillaGilla